After months of public frustration and economic pain, Nigeria’s far-reaching economic reforms are beginning to show signs of recovery, according to recent financial indicators and international assessments. The changes, championed by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s administration, are being cautiously welcomed as the first steps toward long-term stabilization.
Since taking office, Tinubu has introduced several major policy shifts, including the removal of fuel subsidies, floating of the naira, restructuring of the Central Bank, and new foreign exchange controls moves that were described by critics as “painful” but by financial experts as “necessary.”
Now, early economic signals suggest the strategy might be working.
“The worst may be over,” says Nneka Chukwu, a senior economist at Lagos-based consulting firm EconTrak. “Inflation is slowing down, oil production is stabilizing, and international investors are beginning to look at Nigeria again.”
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The Federal Government reports that oil production has risen to 1.6 million barrels per day, up from the crisis-level lows of 2023. This is attributed to improved security in the Niger Delta and renegotiated contracts with major international oil companies.
Additionally, the Nigerian Stock Exchange has seen increased activity, and the Central Bank has reported a boost in foreign exchange reserves though still fragile.
President Tinubu, speaking at the National Economic Council meeting last week, declared the reforms as “uncomfortable but inevitable,” promising that further measures would focus on job creation, tax system reform, and rebuilding investor confidence.
“We are not there yet, but we are no longer in reverse,” Tinubu said. “Nigerians will soon feel the results of these reforms in their pockets.”
Still, skepticism remains.
For many citizens, daily life remains hard. The cost of living is still high, public services are strained, and the naira remains volatile against the dollar. Labour unions continue to protest the economic burden on workers and low-income families, demanding wage adjustments and social protection.
Despite that, global financial observers, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, have praised Nigeria’s “willingness to confront structural weaknesses head-on.”
“This is the kind of leadership we’ve hoped for bold and forward-thinking,” said IMF country representative Ari Aisen in a recent briefing.
As Nigeria enters the second half of 2025, all eyes are on whether the reforms will sustain momentum or stall amid political resistance and public unrest.
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